Critical minerals underpin Washington's Nigeria overtures

At a sideline meeting during the United Nations General Assembly in New York in September, the United States and Nigeria signed a framework agreement to deepen American investment in Nigeria's mining sector. The deal, announced by Nigeria's minister of solid minerals Dele Alake, covers geological data and exploration, mineral development and processing, infrastructure, and technical capacity. Alake put the value of Nigeria's mineral resources at around $700 billion and said the two countries would use the coming months to identify viable projects and build partnerships that create real results for both sides.

The minerals generating the most conversation include lithium, which has attracted attention for its role in batteries and energy storage, but researchers are also watching tantalum, niobium-bearing minerals like coltan, tin, and rare earth elements. Munira Raji, senior research fellow in green minerals and the energy transition at the Africa Policy Research Institute, welcomes the excitement but urges caution. She tells African Business that parts of Nigeria remain under-explored, and better geoscience data and resource definition are still needed before geological potential can be confidently translated into economically recoverable resources.

The deal comes against a complicated diplomatic backdrop. The Trump administration's defunding of USAID hit Nigeria especially hard. The US had funded roughly 90 percent of Nigeria's HIV treatment operations, and total American assistance to the country was worth around $740 million in 2024. USAID officially ceased operations in July last year. Around the same time, Washington imposed visa restrictions on Nigerians, cutting multiple-entry five-year permits down to single-entry three-month permits. Abuja also publicly rejected US pressure to accept third-country deportees as part of Trump's migration agenda.

With that history still fresh, the September minerals framework reads as Washington's attempt to reset the relationship on terms that serve American strategic interests. Whether Nigeria's communities see the benefits Alake is promising is the question worth watching.

Originally published by African Business.

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